Changes in the metastability of the midlatitude Southern Hemisphere circulation and the utility of nonstationary cluster analysis and split-flow blocking indices as diagnostic tools

first_imgChanges in the metastability of the Southern Hemisphere 500-hPa circulation are examined using both cluster analysis techniques and split-flow blocking indices. The cluster methodology is a purely data-driven approach for parameterization whereby a multiscale approximation to nonstationary dynamical processes is achieved through optimal sequences of locally stationary fast vector autoregressive factor (VARX) processes and some slow (or persistent) hidden process switching between them. Comparison is made with blocking indices commonly used in weather forecasting and climate analysis to identify dynamically relevant metastable regimes in the 500-hPa circulation in both reanalysis and Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) datasets. The analysis characterizes the metastable regime in both reanalysis and model datasets prior to 1978 as positive and negative phases of a hemispheric midlatitude blocking state with the southern annular mode (SAM) associated with a transition state. Post-1978, the SAM emerges as a true metastable state replacing the negative phase of the hemispheric blocking pattern. The hidden state frequency of occurrences exhibits strong trends. The blocking pattern dominates in the early 1980s, and then gradually decreases. There is a corresponding increase in the SAM frequency of occurrence. This trend is largely evident in the reanalysis summer and spring but was not evident in the AMIP dataset. Further comparison with the split-flow blocking indices reveals a superficial correspondence between the cluster hidden state frequency of occurrences and split-flow indices. Examination of composite states shows that the blocking indices capture splitting of the zonal flow whereas the cluster composites reflect coherent block formation. Differences in blocking climatologies from the respective methods are discussed.last_img read more

Early last glacial intra-interstadial climate variability recorded in a Sardinian speleothem

first_imgChemical and physical proxy data from a precisely dated early last glacial (∼113–110 ka, MIS5d) Sardinian stalagmite reveal a sub-millennial-scale, cool-dry climate event centered at 112.0 +0.52/-0.59 ka, followed by a rapid return to warm-wet conditions at 111.76 +0.43/-0.45 ka. Comparison with regional speleothem records and the palaeotemperature proxy record from the NGRIP ice core (Greenland) suggests that this event corresponds to Greenland Interstadial (GI) 25b and 25a, an intra-interstadial climate oscillation within GI-25, according to the recent Greenland stratigraphic framework. The speleothem age is in reasonable agreement (within 0.8 kyr) with that of the corresponding event in Greenland based on the GICC05modelext ice chronology but is older by about 3.7 kyr than the Greenland age based on the AICC2012 chronology.last_img read more

Brexit buy-up? Leading London independent is swallowed up by Savills

first_imgHome » News » Agencies & People » Brexit buy-up? Leading London independent is swallowed up by Savills previous nextAgencies & PeopleBrexit buy-up? Leading London independent is swallowed up by SavillsHigh profile and long-established estate agency is to eventually become part of Savills’ brand.The Negotiator14th February 201902,873 Views L to R: James Sparrow, Liza-Jane Kelly, Anne & Chris Currell, Daniel Parker High-profile independent Currell has been bought by Savills which will be added to its existing East London office network in Islington, Shoreditch, Wapping and Canary Wharf.Established in 1990, Currell has offices in Islington, Clerkenwell, Hackney, Hackney Wick and Victoria Park. Known for the strength of its substantial lettings, residential development business and block management business, the group also operates successful residential sales and new homes divisions, together with a general practice commercial professional department.The offices will continue to trade for the next few months under the Currell name and branding, adding ‘part of the Savills group’; to safeguard the uninterrupted quality service levels for which both firms are known. The Currell Islington office will relocate across the road to the Savills office.James Sparrow, CEO, Savills UK and EMEA said, “East London offers an exceptional opportunity particularly for us, as Crossrail comes on stream and the area is considered to offer relative value when it is compared to other neighbourhoods. The outstanding reputation of Currell, alongside its strong office network and client services, will provide a natural extension to our existing Islington, Shoreditch, Wapping and Canary Wharf businesses.“We’ve admired Currell for many years. Their culture, location of their offices and market sectors in which they operate complement our existing rentals, sales and residential development businesses extremely well. This acquisition allows us to be at the forefront of the increasing interest in East London.’’Anne and Chris Currell, joint founders added, “We are absolutely delighted to become part of the Savills group. Having built the company up over the last 28 years, we feel we are a very good cultural and strategic fit.“Our passion and drive will now continue within Savills as we make the most of the opportunities for growth within the real estate markets in East London.”London acquisition Savills Savills expansion Currell February 14, 2019The NegotiatorWhat’s your opinion? Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment.Please note: This is a site for professional discussion. Comments will carry your full name and company.This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.Related articles BREAKING: Evictions paperwork must now include ‘breathing space’ scheme details30th April 2021 City dwellers most satisfied with where they live30th April 2021 Hong Kong remains most expensive city to rent with London in 4th place30th April 2021last_img read more

Auction House London storms home with a stunning sale

first_imgBidding opened at £380,000 for this three bedroom semi in Wembley – selling at £513,500. Sales continue to go from strength to strength for Auction House London with 80% of the lots listed, selling at its latest auction at the end of July.It was a packed saleroom at the London Marriott Regents Park Hotel, where bidding at times was fast and furious. Director and Auctioneer at Auction House London, Andrew Binstock said, “It was a stunning result and compared to the average sales of 71.2% in the property auction sector generally, our figures are utterly exceptional.”A three bedroom semi in Wembley was one lot which attracted a lot of attention from bidders in the room. The house, being sold by Brent Council, is within walking distance of Wembley Stadium and needs complete modernisation. It is also close to the Metropolitan line and has off street parking and a garage. Bidding started at £380,000 and quickly rose to £513,500, while barely missing a beat, with 17 bidders involved in the action at one point.Andrew Binstock added, “In this case we offered the bidders a totally unmodernised house with plenty of opportunity to add value. And with attractive guide prices creating an intense bidding war in a live auction room, conducted by a real auctioneer, it proved perfect conditions for an optimum sale price.”Wembley auctioned house auction Auction House London auctioneers September 23, 2019The NegotiatorWhat’s your opinion? Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment.Please note: This is a site for professional discussion. Comments will carry your full name and company.This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.Related articles Letting agent fined £11,500 over unlicenced rent-to-rent HMO3rd May 2021 BREAKING: Evictions paperwork must now include ‘breathing space’ scheme details30th April 2021 City dwellers most satisfied with where they live30th April 2021 Home » News » Auctions news » Auction House London storms home with a stunning sale previous nextAuctions newsAuction House London storms home with a stunning saleThe Negotiator23rd September 20190406 Viewslast_img read more

19th Bakery Industry Awards

first_imgThe entries are in, the judging has begun and preparations are well under way for this year’s Baking Industry Awards evening. Staged at the prestigious Grosvenor House hotel in London on 18 September, the Awards will pay tribute to some of the finest talent that UK bakeries have to offer, from enthusiastic students to this year’s Baker of the Year, often a seasoned individual. Three finalists in each category will be called up to the stage to receive their certificates and, in the case of the winner, a £500 cheque and trophy from a celebrity host.But the evening is not just about recognising excellence. It’s also a chance to rub shoulders with colleagues from across the UK and Ireland, catch up with old friends, exchange ideas and, last but by no means least, have a lot of fun. The evening includes a Champagne reception, four-course dinner with wine, a cabaret, disco and dancing and a casino, as well as a quieter bar area for networking or just having a chat.With plenty of opportunities to win prizes and raise money for charity, the Baking Industry Awards evening is also a unique opportunity to give something back to the industry that employs you. Around 900 people attended the Awards last year and tickets for this year’s event are already sel-ling quickly. So don’t delay! Call Liz Ellis on our ticket hotline (see box) to make sure you don’t miss out.last_img read more

Top Pentagon women discuss leadership

first_imgTwo of the highest-ranked women in Pentagon history spoke Monday in the DeBartolo Performing Arts Center at the opening discussion of the Notre Dame Forum 2013, whose theme this year is “Women in Leadership.” Ann Dunwoody, the Army’s first female four-star general, and Michèle Flournoy, former undersecretary of defense for policy and the highest-ranking civilian woman in Pentagon history, spoke to students and guests after an introduction by University President Fr. John Jenkins. Notre Dame alumna Anne Thompson of NBC News moderated the conversation. The discussion covered topics ranging from issues such as sexual assault to different leadership styles according to gender. Dunwoody said sexual assault in the military is one of the main issues that organizations like the Army must address within their own chain of command. “This is a leadership failure, in my mind,” she said. “If we expect our leaders to train our sons and daughters to fight in our nation’s war, we should expect our leaders to be able to tackle this soldier and discipline in an organization where people feel safe, and if they’re not safe that they can report it. “Until we see sexual assault as egregious as something as racial discrimination, I’m not sure we’ll be through,” she said to a round of applause. “It is a crisis, and we should recognize that and we have to hold the leadership accountable.” Dunwoody also addressed Thompson’s question of whether women in the work force “can have it all.” “I think we’ve let someone define what ‘it all’ is,” she said. “Men have ‘it all’ if they have a family and a job. Is that all? You define what is all.” Thompson asked Flournoy about obstacles she faced as a young, non-military and Democratic female entering the Pentagon workforce. “In many places, none of those things matter, but in some corners it just meant that people came in with a bias,” Flournoy said. “What I learned very early on … was that if you encounter that kind of bias, let it be the other person’s problem. “Focus on being excellent. Focus on being the best possible player in your position so that there’s absolutely no question about your competence. At some point I just decided that the absence of women who paved the exact path was not going to bother me.” Dunwoody also said excellence is the bottom line in the face of potential discrimination and double standards for women. “You take their comments with a grain of salt and then you just … let it be their problem,” Dunwoody said. “But when you perform and you meet the standard, [even] exceed the standard … those biases dissolve.” Thompson asked the women if they had to put aside their femininity to earn the respect of male subordinates. “I just tried to be myself,” Flournoy said. “I know that there are some women who have tried to be more masculine as a way of being in a man’s world or more feminine.” “I have tried, I have figured that the best thing I can be is just to be myself and let that speak for itself and focus on making a contribution and being excellent and helping the team accomplish its goals.” “I don’t believe you have to give up your femininity to be in any profession, nor do I believe you have to use your femininity to gain anything” Dunwoody said. Thompson asked Dunwoody about the challenges in commanding large groups of men after the integration of women into the army. “I see soldiers in uniform; I don’t see men and women,” Dunwoody said. “I see soldiers. And I wanted to be the best soldier I could possibly be and the best leader I could possibly be and a leader is taking care of people.” “When you care about your people and you take care of them and they trust you, they will follow you. And they know that you’re trying to do the right thing for the right reason. They will follow you.” Flournoy said a poster hung on the first day of the transition to the Obama administration in Pentagon headquarters captured the guiding principle in her work. “No ego, no drama, this is not about you,” she said. “You have to come to work every day willing to lose your job if it’s important to speak up, to say what you think is true even if you think it could make you lose your job. If you’re not willing to do that, you should not be here.” Thompson asked Dunwoody and Flournoy about the difference in leadership styles between men and women. “I think women generally, normally are better engagers and communicators, because they care,” Dunwoody said. “How we have to challenge that is overcoming the perception that leadership is macho, yelling, screaming, telling and men are decisive … and women are emotional, indecisive and impassive.” “But look at every profession now,” she said. “Women are at the top.” Contact Lesley Stevenson at    [email protected]last_img read more

European Energy A/S to build 300MW solar farm in Denmark, largest in northern Europe

first_img FacebookTwitterLinkedInEmailPrint分享Renewables Now:Renewables company European Energy A/S has secured local council permission to install what it says will be the largest solar photovoltaic (PV) park in Denmark and in Northern Europe.The company’s project for a 300-MW solar complex was approved by the municipality of Aabenraa, Southern Jutland region, with a “massive majority,” the developer said on Wednesday. Its proposal will require a total investment of over DKK 1 billion (USD 157.5m/EUR 134.3m).The PV farm is planned to be built near Kasso, in proximity to future data centres and a major regional transformer station. Its construction is slated to begin early next year, while the power plant is scheduled to start feeding electricity to the grid before the end of 2021.Once up and running, the solar farm will be capable of producing enough electricity for over 75,000 Danish homes. Its output will help offset 1110,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions annually.[Veselina Petrova]More: European Energy wins approval for 300-MW solar complex in Denmark European Energy A/S to build 300MW solar farm in Denmark, largest in northern Europelast_img read more

UAVs in Public Security and Civil Defense (Part III, last)

first_img São Paulo In 2011, the São Paulo State Military Police (PMESP) began to use the domestically manufactured unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) Tiriba. Like the Lanu III, it comes equipped with an electric engine, displays similar performance, and is manually launched. The institution has been using the Tiriba in a rural atmosphere, especially for environmental protection. The PMESP trained 15 officers, providing classes in simulators and practices in the Aeronautical Engineering Department of the University of São Paulo (USP – São Carlos). In the same year, there was a simulated road accident assistance exercise, where they mocked a toxic spill, with the participation of firefighters. Rio Grande do Sul In 2010, the Military Brigade of Rio Grande do Sul began to test the multi-engine UAVs during soccer games, similarly to what was done the same year as the Libertadores Cup soccer tournament, as well as at a local championship. It was also tested at the International Animal Exhibition – EXPOINTER, one of the most important and biggest agricultural trade fairs put on annually in Brazil. Santa Catarina In 2011, during the 20th National Onion Party in the town of Ituporanga, Santa Catarina state, the Military Police partnered with the Federal University, to successfully test two fixed-wing UAV models. One was the “flying wing” type and the other had a conventional design. Federal Police The Federal Police Department (DPF) operates two UAVs that are on a base in the town of São Miguel do Iguaçu, in the state of Paraná. When available, these aircraft monitor the borders, particularly to combat drug trafficking and smuggling. The DPF intends to use the UAVs in upcoming large sporting events, and is now seeking to acquire 12 more of these aircraft. Some Important Actions The initiatives in the field of UAVs in Brazil must be valued by the three spheres of government, including the possibility of reinforcing the National Defense Strategy. On the legislation topic, the Brazilian Air Force authorities are open to join forces with the Brazilian Police in support of public security and civil defense operations within their domains. Despite the restrictions on the use of these aircraft in highly populated areas, the rules may be revised by the regional aerial space control organizations, of which many state military institutions are already taking advantage. Regarding the training of UAV pilots, the Military Police will use the experience of the Brazilian Army and the Marines, where the pilots of their mini-UAVs, or tactics, are not required to be officers, and in the majority of the cases are privates (according to the division of the Brazilian Army). In any case, they are all required to take the same classes as the members of the forces, in order to create the proper military police doctrine. The state security officers may create work groups to exchange experiences with the Center for Excellency in Development of Embedded Systems for UAVs and Mobile Tactic Robots, to support surveillance of our borders, without forgetting the national industry, to develop unmanned systems that may meet the national needs. By Dialogo August 29, 2012last_img read more

Steve Jobs on credit unions 2: Why do crappy credit unions exist?

first_img 86SHARESShareShareSharePrintMailGooglePinterestDiggRedditStumbleuponDeliciousBufferTumblr,Bo McDonald Bo McDonald is president of Your Marketing Co. A marketing firm that started serving credit unions nearly a decade ago, offering a wide range of services including web design, branding, … Web: Details Whether you love him or hate him, you can’t argue that Steve Jobs was not a passionate man. He was passionate about new ideas, about quality, and about his brand. It showed. Apple consumers are famously loyal.Despite the rapid change in technology over the last ten years, the iPod is still very much prized. But does anyone remember the Zune? Microsoft released them only three years after the iPod’s debut. Fast forward two years and the Zune still only had 5% of the market share. They never took off. Microsoft totally stopped production of the Zune hardware in 2011.What made the iPod the preferred product over the Zune? It’s because of one word—passion.“The older I get, the more I see how much motivations matter” Jobs said. Was there a different motivation between Apple and Microsoft in launching these new products? According to Jobs, there was a huge difference. “The Zune was crappy because the people at Microsoft don’t really love music or art the way we do. We won because we personally love music. We made the iPod for ourselves, and when you’re doing something for yourself, or your best friend or family, you’re not going to cheese out.”While many economic and social factors weigh into the success of a credit union, I’ve seen first hand the difference a passionate team can make on the bottom line. The most successful credit unions we’ve worked with have not had the best marketing, they haven’t had the most college degrees in one room, nor have they had the best circumstances. The credit unions, which have the most success, are winning because they personally believe in their credit union. They have a mission statement and a vision they are passionate about. Their members are friends and family. They don’t “cheese out” as Jobs said.“If you don’t love something, you’re not going to go the extra mile, work the extra weekend, challenge the status quo as much,” Jobs continued. What separates the good credit unions from the great credit unions? Culture. Vision. Passion. If you’re making loans for the sake of the bottom line or to meet targets, you’re going to have an uphill battle. If you’re making loans with the understanding of how you are helping a member or changing a life, it creates a passion to do it again and again. Is your credit union a Zune or an iPod? Do you have a little slice of the pie, or are you winning the fight for share of wallet?last_img read more

The impact of technology on small credit unions

first_imgOf  course credit union software offers a competitive edge, but it also has no allegiances to scalability or scope. Credit unions of varying size have one thing in common – the means to adopt new, or improve existing technology. A credit union’s outlook on innovation shouldn’t be relative to asset size or membership, but rather on its ability to find a technology solution that works for them and meets their members’ needs. Parterning with the right credit union software provider can help.As the following infographic shows, credit union technology can intensify member growth, especially in the 7 areas considered “Strong Technology Options”:Mobile BankingRemote Deposit CaptureElectronic Signature AuthenticationElectronic Bill PayElectronic Member ApplicationElectronic Loan ApplicationElectronic Share Account ApplicationIn fact, credit unions that invest in all 7 see, on average, an increase in membership growth by 3.37%. continue reading » 11SHARESShareShareSharePrintMailGooglePinterestDiggRedditStumbleuponDeliciousBufferTumblrlast_img read more